Identity checkMismatch
✓CardNeo Genesis #017/111 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchTyphlosion (17) · Neo Genesis · #017/111
✕Raw pricePulse $475.00 vs tracker $186.27 (-61%)
✓Gem rate0.0% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$19,518 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$1,850 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$1,462 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+81%
PSA 10$19,518PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$1,850PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$1,462PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$502.49$1,121 net sale vs $618.61 cost
EV rangeEV range: +52% / +81% / +178% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $673.51 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $475.00PSA 10 rate 0.0–4.5% (80% interval on 0 / 35); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 0% / 9 38% / 8 34% / ≤7 29%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 0.0% → adjusted 0.0% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $475 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $475.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $119.23 (expected; 71% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $13.39 = $618.61Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $18,204.48 · PSA 9 $1,582.32 · PSA 8 $1,249.32 · ≤7 $361.49PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 71% chance of an upcharge to Priority/Express; about 87 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 4.5% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 38%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium10.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate0.0%
PSA 10 pop0
Total pop35
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity100/100
LabelElite
Confidence67/100
Supply100/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 0.0%PSA 10 pop 0/35PSA 10/9 premium 10.6xSupply constraint 100/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$186.27
Pulse price$475.00
Delta-61%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Typhlosion (17)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$323.33 floor, 4 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.