Identity checkMatches
✓CardNeo Discovery #10/75 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchScizor (10) · Neo Discovery · #10/75
✓Raw pricePulse $199.00 vs tracker $199.00 (+0%)
✓Gem rate3.9% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$10,461 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$678.43 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$250.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+84%
PSA 10$10,461PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$678.43PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$250.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$254.59$556.94 net sale vs $302.35 cost
EV rangeEV range: +65% / +84% / +112% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $312.71 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $199.00PSA 10 rate 3.2–4.7% (80% interval on 41 / 1054); comps ±8.0% (comp quality 84). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 38% / 8 32% / ≤7 27%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 3.9% → adjusted 2.5% (Vintage, ×0.63 at $199 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $199.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $83.07 (expected; 2% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $9.27 = $302.35Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $9,374.98 · PSA 9 $576.84 · PSA 8 $209.16 · ≤7 $148.31PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 2% chance of an upcharge to Premium 1; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 4.7% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 39%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium15.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate3.9%
PSA 10 pop41
Total pop1,054
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity88/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply92/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 3.9%PSA 10 pop 41/1054PSA 10/9 premium 15.4xSupply constraint 92/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$199.00
Pulse price$199.00
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Scizor (10)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$177.99 floor, 2 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.