Identity checkMatches
✓CardNeo Revelation #12/64 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchPorygon2 · Neo Revelation · #12/64
!Raw pricePulse $120.00 vs tracker $99.00 (-18%)
✓Gem rate2.3% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$1,132 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$232.76 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$150.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-27%
PSA 10$1,132PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$232.76PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$150.00PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$52.51$145.30 net sale vs $197.81 cost
EV rangeEV range: -36% / -27% / -16% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $9.45 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $120.00PSA 10 rate 1.8–3.0% (80% interval on 21 / 909); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 31% / 8 36% / ≤7 32%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 2.3% → adjusted 1.4% (Vintage, ×0.59 at $120 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 7.8% adjusted (≈ 13.2% population)
CostsRaw $120.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $60.26 (expected; 1% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $6.55 = $197.81Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $966.25 · PSA 9 $194.36 · PSA 8 $123.33 · ≤7 $87.29PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 1% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 3.0% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 31%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate2.3%
PSA 10 pop21
Total pop909
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity88/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply95/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 2.3%PSA 10 pop 21/909PSA 10/9 premium 4.9xSupply constraint 95/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$99.00
Pulse price$120.00
Delta-18%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Porygon2PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$88.74 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.