Identity checkMismatch
✓CardLegendary Collection #087/110 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchPonyta · Legendary Collection · #087/110
✕Raw pricePulse $51.48 vs tracker $0.63 (-99%)
✓Gem rate5.9% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,843 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$423.07 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$299.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+119%
PSA 10$1,843PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$423.07PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$299.00PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$155.26$286.03 net sale vs $130.77 cost
EV rangeEV range: +77% / +119% / +163% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $122.24 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $51.48PSA 10 rate 4.8–7.1% (80% interval on 40 / 680); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.9% → adjusted 3.1% (Vintage, ×0.52 at $51 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $51.48 + shipping $5.00 + grading $64.28 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.01 = $130.77Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,576.65 · PSA 9 $357.69 · PSA 8 $251.21 · ≤7 $34.36PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.9%
PSA 10 pop40
Total pop680
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity82/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply89/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 5.9%PSA 10 pop 40/680PSA 10/9 premium 4.4xSupply constraint 89/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$0.63
Pulse price$51.48
Delta-99%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
PonytaPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context0
StatusNo active dashboard flag
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.