Identity checkMismatch
✓CardEX Emerald #60/106 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchPikachu · EX Emerald · #60/106
✕Raw pricePulse $599.99 vs tracker $16.31 (-97%)
✓Gem rate4.9% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$591.21 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$82.45 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$126.71 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-87%
PSA 10$591.21PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$82.45PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$126.71PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$604.68$90.35 net sale vs $695.03 cost
EV rangeEV range: -88% / -87% / -85% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $599.99PSA 10 rate 3.8–6.2% (80% interval on 28 / 575); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 43% / 8 29% / ≤7 25%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.9% → adjusted 3.2% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $600 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $599.99 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $24.05 = $695.03Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $501.99 · PSA 9 $65.36 · PSA 8 $103.35 · ≤7 $65.36PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 6.2% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 44%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.2x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.9%
PSA 10 pop28
Total pop575
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity86/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply90/100
Demand82/100
Gem rate 4.9%PSA 10 pop 28/575PSA 10/9 premium 7.2xSupply constraint 90/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$16.31
Pulse price$599.99
Delta-97%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
PikachuPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Momentum#4 / +812%
Support$73.65 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.