Identity checkMatches
✓CardNeo Genesis #010/111 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchMatched by TCGplayer ID
!Raw price$160.17 (tracker has no price)
✓Gem rate1.1% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$28,000 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$306.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$282.21 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+49%
PSA 10$13,053PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$286.29PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$219.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$123.60$375.92 net sale vs $252.32 cost
EV rangeEV range: +10% / +49% / +102% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $134.36 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $160.17PSA 10 rate 0.8–1.4% (80% interval on 22 / 1993); comps ±22.0% (comp quality 56). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 21% / 8 41% / ≤7 37%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 1.1% → adjusted 0.7% (Vintage, ×0.61 at $160 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 0.2% adjusted (≈ 0.3% population)
CostsRaw $160.17 + shipping $5.00 + grading $73.15 (expected; 1% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.00 = $252.32Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $26,473.04 · PSA 9 $257.22 · PSA 8 $236.80 · ≤7 $118.32PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 1% chance of an upcharge to Premium 2; about 132 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.4% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 21%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium45.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate1.1%
PSA 10 pop22
Total pop1,993
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity92/100
LabelElite
Confidence100/100
Supply98/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 1.1%PSA 10 pop 22/1993PSA 10/9 premium 45.6xSupply constraint 98/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$160.17
Pulse price$160.17
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Meganium (10)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$146.89 floor, 5 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.