Identity checkMatches
✓CardGym Heroes #006/132 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchLt. Surge's Electabuzz (6) · Gym Heroes · #006/132
✓Raw pricePulse $98.54 vs tracker $91.18 (-7%)
✓Gem rate17.8% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$1,050 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$122.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$72.05 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-10%
PSA 10$1,050PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$122.50PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$72.05PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$17.24$160.05 net sale vs $177.29 cost
EV rangeEV range: -24% / -10% / +6% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $31.14 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $98.54PSA 10 rate 16.7–19.0% (80% interval on 332 / 1865); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 40% / 8 27% / ≤7 22%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 17.8% → adjusted 10.3% (Vintage, ×0.58 at $99 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 12.4% adjusted (≈ 21.5% population)
CostsRaw $98.54 + shipping $5.00 + grading $62.04 (expected; 10% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.71 = $177.29Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $896.02 · PSA 9 $99.73 · PSA 8 $56.44 · ≤7 $56.44PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 10% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium8.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate17.8%
PSA 10 pop332
Total pop1,865
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity73/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply68/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 17.8%PSA 10 pop 332/1865PSA 10/9 premium 8.6xSupply constraint 68/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$91.18
Pulse price$98.54
Delta-7%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Lt. Surge's Electabuzz (6)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$82.07 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.