Identity checkMismatch
✓CardEX Emerald #6/106 · Rev Holo (1 of 3 printings)
✓Tracker matchKyogre - 006/106 · Emerald · #6/106
✕Raw pricePulse $219.00 vs tracker $1.31 (-99%)
✓Gem rate7.2% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$995.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$829.50 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$231.23 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+45%
PSA 10$995.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$829.50PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$231.23PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$136.45$436.61 net sale vs $300.16 cost
EV rangeEV range: +20% / +45% / +71% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $219.11 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $219.00PSA 10 rate 5.1–10.0% (80% interval on 13 / 181); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 43% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 7.2% → adjusted 4.6% (Vintage, ×0.64 at $219 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $219.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $10.17 = $300.16Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $848.53 · PSA 9 $706.50 · PSA 8 $193.05 · ≤7 $163.76PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.2x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate7.2%
PSA 10 pop13
Total pop181
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity66/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply86/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 7.2%PSA 10 pop 13/181PSA 10/9 premium 1.2xSupply constraint 86/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$1.31
Pulse price$219.00
Delta-99%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Kyogre - 006/106PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$49.99 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.