Identity checkMatches
✓CardLegends Awakened #4/146 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchGiratina · Legends Awakened · #4/146
✓Raw pricePulse $95.09 vs tracker $94.93 (-0%)
✓Gem rate4.5% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$1,913 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$215.41 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$89.06 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-10%
PSA 10$1,913PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$215.41PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$89.06PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$17.30$157.92 net sale vs $175.22 cost
EV rangeEV range: -28% / -10% / +12% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $17.64 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $95.09PSA 10 rate 3.0–6.6% (80% interval on 10 / 224); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.5% → adjusted 2.6% (Vintage, ×0.57 at $95 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 3.8% adjusted (≈ 6.6% population)
CostsRaw $95.09 + shipping $5.00 + grading $63.55 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.58 = $175.22Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,635.96 · PSA 9 $179.47 · PSA 8 $71.03 · ≤7 $68.05PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium8.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.5%
PSA 10 pop10
Total pop224
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity91/100
LabelElite
Confidence100/100
Supply91/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 4.5%PSA 10 pop 10/224PSA 10/9 premium 8.9xSupply constraint 91/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$94.93
Pulse price$95.09
Delta-0%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
GiratinaPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context0
StatusNo active dashboard flag
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.