Fire Energy Normal

EX Emerald - #102/106 - Vintage - Holo Rare

PassSlab

Max buy: PSA 10 ≤ $186.67PSA 9 ≤ $5.57
Current: $17.50
Slab: Search for discounted slabs
Confidence: Low confidence in this verdict, show why
Low confidence in this verdict
Thin comps (comp quality 64, under 65)

Scored on demand (not in today's pool) · score 46

Worth a look: Graded comps matched by product, not printing.
The slab market isn't strong enough yet (liquidity 62, comps 64).
A PSA 10 sells for 18.1× a PSA 9, and only 8 exist.

Graded comps matched by product, not printingAging graded compsThin graded comps

Checklist 0 of 3 checked

Spot-check that the PSA comps are for this printing (we use PSA 10 $275.00, PSA 9 $15.17).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9
Check eBay sold PSA listings from the last 30 days (we use PSA 10 $275.00, PSA 9 $15.17).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9
Add a few more PSA sold comps if you can (we use PSA 10 $275.00, PSA 9 $15.17, PSA 8 $12.50).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9 eBay sold PSA 8

Current

$17.50

PT ok$17.29 -1%Scarcity 85Grade EV -87%

All-time high*

$28.35

All-time low*

$16.22

vs high

-38%

On sale - 38% off - Basing View on TCGplayer eBay Buy It Now eBay Auctions

Identity checkMatches

✓CardEX Emerald #102/106 · Normal (1 of 2 printings)

✓Tracker matchFire Energy · Emerald · #102/106

✓Raw pricePulse $17.50 vs tracker $17.29 (-1%)

✓Gem rate5.0% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing

!PSA 10 comp$275.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

!PSA 9 comp$15.17 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

!PSA 8 comp$12.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

Your grading resultsNone logged

Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.

Graded economics-87%

PSA 10$275.00PokemonPriceTracker 365d

PSA 9$15.17PokemonPriceTracker 365d

PSA 8$12.50PokemonPriceTracker 365d

Net EV−$79.88$11.44 net sale vs $91.31 cost

EV rangeEV range: -92% / -87% / -81% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $17.50PSA 10 rate 3.2–7.7% (80% interval on 8 / 159); comps ±18.0% (comp quality 64). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.

Outcome mix10 2% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%

PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.0% → adjusted 2.3% (Vintage, ×0.45 at $18 value, starting assumption)

Break-evenNeeds ≥ 37.9% adjusted (≈ 84.2% population)

CostsRaw $17.50 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.82 = $91.31Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $230.61 · PSA 9 $7.62 · PSA 8 $5.33 · ≤7 $5.33PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).

Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw

PSA 10/9 premium18.1x

PopulationPSA 10

Gem rate5.0%

PSA 10 pop8

Total pop159

SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment

PSA 10 velocity-

Total velocity-

SnapshotJun 21, 2026

Scarcity85/100

LabelStrong

Confidence96/100

Supply90/100

Demand57/100

Gem rate 5.0%PSA 10 pop 8/159PSA 10/9 premium 18.1xSupply constraint 90/100

Raw validationconfirmed

TCG market$17.29

Pulse price$17.50

Delta-1%

CheckedJun 22, 2026

Fire EnergyPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days

Signal context1

Drawdown38% off peak, Basing

Other printings of this card

Holo$18.97 Normal$17.50

*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-10-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.