Identity checkMismatch
✓CardAquapolis #076/147 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchExeggcute (76) · Aquapolis · #076/147
✕Raw pricePulse $35.64 vs tracker $2.42 (-93%)
✓Gem rate11.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$195.67 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$26.94 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$17.88 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-80%
PSA 10$195.67PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$26.94PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$17.88PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$88.46$21.66 net sale vs $110.11 cost
EV rangeEV range: -84% / -80% / -74% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $35.64PSA 10 rate 6.7–17.8% (80% interval on 6 / 54); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 6% / 9 43% / 8 28% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 11.1% → adjusted 5.5% (Vintage, ×0.50 at $36 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 64.8% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $35.64 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.48 = $110.11Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $162.53 · PSA 9 $17.72 · PSA 8 $9.95 · ≤7 $9.95PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate11.1%
PSA 10 pop6
Total pop54
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity80/100
LabelStrong
Confidence92/100
Supply79/100
Demand46/100
Gem rate 11.1%PSA 10 pop 6/54PSA 10/9 premium 7.3xSupply constraint 79/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$2.42
Pulse price$35.64
Delta-93%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Exeggcute (76)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$7.27 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown61% off peak, Basing
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.