PSA 10$800.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$524.25PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$307.86PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$153.82$302.73 net sale vs $148.91 cost
EV rangeEV range: +68% / +103% / +140% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $140.16 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $73.07PSA 10 rate 4.7–6.8% (80% interval on 47 / 826); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.7% → adjusted 3.1% (Vintage, ×0.55 at $73 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $73.07 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.85 = $148.91Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $681.18 · PSA 9 $444.52 · PSA 8 $258.81 · ≤7 $51.04PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings). Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.5x