Identity checkMismatch
✓CardNeo Destiny #001/105 · Unlimited Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchDark Ampharos · Neo Destiny · #001/105
✕Raw pricePulse $161.37 vs tracker $51.99 (-68%)
✓Gem rate4.4% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$201.94 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$151.49 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$217.83 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-41%
PSA 10$201.94PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$151.49PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$217.83PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$98.41$142.02 net sale vs $240.43 cost
EV rangeEV range: -51% / -41% / -32% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $2.21 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $161.37PSA 10 rate 3.6–5.4% (80% interval on 42 / 948); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 40% / 8 31% / ≤7 26%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.4% → adjusted 2.7% (Vintage, ×0.62 at $161 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $161.37 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.07 = $240.43Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $167.91 · PSA 9 $124.61 · PSA 8 $181.55 · ≤7 $119.24PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.4% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 41%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.4%
PSA 10 pop42
Total pop948
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity60/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply91/100
Demand47/100
Gem rate 4.4%PSA 10 pop 42/948PSA 10/9 premium 1.3xSupply constraint 91/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$51.99
Pulse price$161.37
Delta-68%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Dark AmpharosPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$78.38 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.