Identity checkMatches
✓CardExpedition #007/165 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchClefable (7) · Expedition · #007/165
✓Raw pricePulse $155.37 vs tracker $153.97 (-1%)
✓Gem rate5.4% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$5,327 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$673.75 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$294.16 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+98%
PSA 10$5,327PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$673.75PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$294.16PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$246.96$498.69 net sale vs $251.74 cost
EV rangeEV range: +63% / +98% / +142% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $254.62 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $155.37PSA 10 rate 4.4–6.5% (80% interval on 39 / 727); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.4% → adjusted 3.3% (Vintage, ×0.61 at $155 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $155.37 + shipping $5.00 + grading $77.70 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.67 = $251.74Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $4,566.22 · PSA 9 $572.83 · PSA 8 $247.06 · ≤7 $114.61PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Premier; about 129 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.4%
PSA 10 pop39
Total pop727
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity87/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply90/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 5.4%PSA 10 pop 39/727PSA 10/9 premium 7.9xSupply constraint 90/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$153.97
Pulse price$155.37
Delta-1%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Clefable (7)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$150.00 floor, 2 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.