Identity checkMatches
✓CardEX Power Keepers #6/108 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchCharizard · EX Power Keepers · #6/108
✓Raw pricePulse $176.65 vs tracker $176.65 (+0%)
✓Gem rate5.1% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$6,386 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$2,800 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$1,000 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+273%
PSA 10$6,386PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$2,800PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$1,000PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$1,064$1,454 net sale vs $389.92 cost
EV rangeEV range: +253% / +273% / +288% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $529.95 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $176.65PSA 10 rate 4.6–5.7% (80% interval on 151 / 2935); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 41% / 8 30% / ≤7 25%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.1% → adjusted 3.2% (Vintage, ×0.62 at $177 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $176.65 + shipping $5.00 + grading $196.36 (expected; 44% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.91 = $389.92Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $5,474.84 · PSA 9 $2,397.63 · PSA 8 $852.83 · ≤7 $131.04PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 44% chance of an upcharge to Super Express/Premier; about 82 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.7% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 43%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.1%
PSA 10 pop151
Total pop2,935
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity70/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply90/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 5.1%PSA 10 pop 151/2935PSA 10/9 premium 2.3xSupply constraint 90/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$176.65
Pulse price$176.65
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
CharizardPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$167.94 floor, 4 tests
Drawdown29% off peak, Basing
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.