Identity checkMatches
✓CardEX Deoxys #3/107 · Holo (1 of 3 printings)
✓Tracker matchBreloom · Deoxys · #3/107
!Raw pricePulse $32.12 vs tracker $25.67 (-20%)
✓Gem rate7.6% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,412 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$90.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$65.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-11%
PSA 10$1,412PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$90.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$65.00PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$12.15$95.05 net sale vs $107.20 cost
EV rangeEV range: -40% / -11% / +20% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $32.12PSA 10 rate 5.4–10.6% (80% interval on 13 / 171); comps ±22.0% (comp quality 56). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 4% / 9 43% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 7.6% → adjusted 3.7% (Vintage, ×0.49 at $32 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 4.8% adjusted (≈ 9.8% population)
CostsRaw $32.12 + shipping $5.00 + grading $60.73 (expected; 4% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.35 = $107.20Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,205.98 · PSA 9 $71.84 · PSA 8 $50.38 · ≤7 $19.41PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 4% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 132 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium15.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate7.6%
PSA 10 pop13
Total pop171
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity88/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply85/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 7.6%PSA 10 pop 13/171PSA 10/9 premium 15.7xSupply constraint 85/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$25.67
Pulse price$32.12
Delta-20%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
BreloomPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$25.84 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.