Identity checkMismatch
✓CardSkyridge #142/144 · Rev Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchBounce Energy · Skyridge · #142/144
✕Raw pricePulse $23.28 vs tracker $5.50 (-76%)
✓Gem rate4.5% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$559.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$31.64 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$18.20 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-74%
PSA 10$559.50PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$31.64PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$18.20PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$72.36$24.95 net sale vs $97.30 cost
EV rangeEV range: -81% / -74% / -63% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $23.28PSA 10 rate 2.4–8.2% (80% interval on 4 / 89); comps ±8.0% (comp quality 84). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.5% → adjusted 2.1% (Vintage, ×0.46 at $23 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 17.8% adjusted (≈ 38.6% population)
CostsRaw $23.28 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.03 = $97.30Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $474.77 · PSA 9 $21.75 · PSA 8 $10.22 · ≤7 $10.22PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium17.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.5%
PSA 10 pop4
Total pop89
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity90/100
LabelElite
Confidence92/100
Supply91/100
Demand81/100
Gem rate 4.5%PSA 10 pop 4/89PSA 10/9 premium 17.7xSupply constraint 91/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$5.50
Pulse price$23.28
Delta-76%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Bounce EnergyPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$21.17 floor, 4 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-05-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.