Identity checkMatches
✓CardJungle #12/64 · 1st Edition Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchVaporeon (12) · Jungle · #12/64
✓Raw pricePulse $155.49 vs tracker $177.75 (+14%)
✓Gem rate1.5% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$12,999 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$1,230 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$597.18 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+143%
PSA 10$12,999PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$1,230PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$597.18PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$353.57$600.99 net sale vs $247.43 cost
EV rangeEV range: +127% / +143% / +160% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $427.27 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $155.49PSA 10 rate 1.3–1.8% (80% interval on 72 / 4754); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 23% / 8 40% / ≤7 35%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 1.5% → adjusted 0.9% (Vintage, ×0.61 at $155 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $155.49 + shipping $5.00 + grading $73.39 (expected; 24% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.55 = $247.43Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $11,849.24 · PSA 9 $1,050.30 · PSA 8 $507.11 · ≤7 $114.70PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 24% chance of an upcharge to Priority/Premium 1; about 125 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.8% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 24%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium10.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate1.5%
PSA 10 pop72
Total pop4,754
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity89/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply97/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 1.5%PSA 10 pop 72/4754PSA 10/9 premium 10.6xSupply constraint 97/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$177.75
Pulse price$155.49
Delta+14%
CheckedOct 3, 2026
Vaporeon (12)PSA comps refreshed Oct 3, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$140.59 floor, 4 tests
Drawdown42% off peak, Falling
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.