Identity checkMismatch
✓CardBase Set (Shadowless) #022/102 · 1st Edition (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchPidgeotto · Base Set (Shadowless) · #022/102
✕Raw pricePulse $83.41 vs tracker $26.04 (-69%)
✓Gem rate14.6% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$324.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$236.21 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$45.33 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-24%
PSA 10$324.50PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$236.21PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$45.33PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$38.78$120.84 net sale vs $159.63 cost
EV rangeEV range: -36% / -24% / -13% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $6.85 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $83.41PSA 10 rate 13.4–15.8% (80% interval on 208 / 1426); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 8% / 9 41% / 8 28% / ≤7 23%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 14.6% → adjusted 8.2% (Vintage, ×0.56 at $83 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 31.6% adjusted (≈ 56.1% population)
CostsRaw $83.41 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.23 = $159.63Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $273.09 · PSA 9 $197.32 · PSA 8 $33.50 · ≤7 $33.50PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate14.6%
PSA 10 pop208
Total pop1,426
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity51/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply73/100
Demand62/100
Gem rate 14.6%PSA 10 pop 208/1426PSA 10/9 premium 1.4xSupply constraint 73/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$26.04
Pulse price$83.41
Delta-69%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
PidgeottoPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$78.02 floor, 3 tests
Other printings of this card
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.