![Victory Cup - BW29 (Battle Road Spring 2012) [3rd Place]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/96863_200w.jpg)
Identity checkMatches
✓CardBlack and White Promos #BW29 · Holo
✓Tracker matchVictory Cup - BW29 (Battle Road Spring 2012) [3rd Place] · Black and White Promos · #BW29
✓Raw pricePulse $74.90 vs tracker $74.90 (+0%)
✓Gem rate15.7% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,506 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$147.52 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$103.40 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+21%
PSA 10$1,506PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$147.52PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$103.40PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$33.86$196.56 net sale vs $162.70 cost
EV rangeEV range: +1% / +21% / +51% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $48.36 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $74.90PSA 10 rate 11.6–20.8% (80% interval on 16 / 102); comps ±9.5% (comp quality 81). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 9% / 9 41% / 8 27% / ≤7 23%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 15.7% → adjusted 8.7% (Vintage, ×0.55 at $75 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 5.5% adjusted (≈ 9.9% population)
CostsRaw $74.90 + shipping $5.00 + grading $72.08 (expected; 9% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.72 = $162.70Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,287.08 · PSA 9 $121.21 · PSA 8 $83.34 · ≤7 $52.45PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 9% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 124 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium10.2x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate15.7%
PSA 10 pop16
Total pop102
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity81/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply71/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 15.7%PSA 10 pop 16/102PSA 10/9 premium 10.2xSupply constraint 71/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$74.90
Pulse price$74.90
Delta0%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Victory Cup - BW29 (Battle Road Spring 2012) [3rd Place]PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$73.75 floor, 2 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.