Identity checkMismatch
✓CardEX FireRed & LeafGreen #116/112 · Holo (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchZapdos ex · EX FireRed & LeafGreen · #116/112
✕Raw pricePulse $270.42 vs tracker $49.50 (-82%)
✓Gem rate16.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$2,922 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$645.27 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$368.63 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+60%
PSA 10$2,922PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$645.27PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$368.63PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$229.64$612.46 net sale vs $382.82 cost
EV rangeEV range: +49% / +60% / +71% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $374.23 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $270.42PSA 10 rate 14.9–17.5% (80% interval on 204 / 1264); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 40% / 8 27% / ≤7 22%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 16.1% → adjusted 10.5% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $270 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $270.42 + shipping $5.00 + grading $90.31 (expected; 10% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $11.09 = $382.82Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $2,502.66 · PSA 9 $548.38 · PSA 8 $310.96 · ≤7 $203.47PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 10% chance of an upcharge to Super Express; about 121 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate16.1%
PSA 10 pop204
Total pop1,264
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity71/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply70/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 16.1%PSA 10 pop 204/1264PSA 10/9 premium 4.5xSupply constraint 70/100
Raw validationprice mismatch
TCG market$49.50
Pulse price$270.42
Delta-82%
CheckedOct 12, 2026
Zapdos exPSA comps refreshed Oct 12, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$268.97 floor, 2 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.