Voltorb (Shiny) Rev Holo

Stormfront - #SH3 - Vintage - Shiny Holo Rare

VerifyRaw to grade

Max buy: ≥ $136.92
Current: $45.64
Expected ROI: +271% (+220% … > 300%)
Confidence: Low confidence in this verdict, show why
Low confidence in this verdict
Held by a blocker: High EV needs strong comps

Rank #78 of today's pool · score 32Top EVScarce

Held back by: High EV needs strong comps.
Today's $45.64 is well under the $136.92 max buy.
Even the worst case returns +220% on comps of 73 (best case > 300%).

High EV needs strong compsPSA 9 far above raw on a low-gem card (PSA 9 $1,023 is 22.4× raw $45.64)Raw price moved vs confirmationAging graded comps

Checklist 0 of 5 checked

Must check: EV over 150% needs comp quality ≥ 80 and liquidity ≥ 70; confirm PSA 9 and PSA 10 sales first (we use PSA 10 $9,000, PSA 9 $1,023).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9
Must check: PSA 9 sells for 22.4× raw on a card that rarely grades well; confirm recent PSA 9 sales and that the raw copy is a real 9 candidate (we use PSA 9 $1,023).eBay sold PSA 9
Re-check the raw price; it moved more than 15% since it was confirmed.
Check eBay sold PSA listings from the last 30 days (we use PSA 10 $9,000, PSA 9 $1,023).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9
Ask for front and back photos; check centering (55/45 or better), corners and surface.

Current

$45.64

PT ok$35.98 -21%Scarcity 92Grade EV +271%

All-time high*

$52.28

All-time low*

$33.69

vs high

-13%

Has support - floor $39.65 - 4x View on TCGplayer eBay Buy It Now eBay Auctions

Identity checkMatches

✓CardStormfront #SH3 · Rev Holo

✓Tracker matchVoltorb (Shiny) · Stormfront · #SH3

!Raw pricePulse $45.64 vs tracker $35.98 (-21%)

✓Gem rate2.7% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing

✓PSA 10 comp$9,000 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

✓PSA 9 comp$1,023 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

✓PSA 8 comp$242.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID

Your grading resultsNone logged

Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.

Graded economics+271%

PSA 10$9,000PokemonPriceTracker 365d

PSA 9$1,023PokemonPriceTracker 365d

PSA 8$242.50PokemonPriceTracker 365d

Net EV$365.38$500.45 net sale vs $135.06 cost

EV rangeEV range: +220% / +271% / > 300% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $136.92 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $45.64PSA 10 rate 1.8–4.1% (80% interval on 9 / 331); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.

Outcome mix10 1% / 9 36% / 8 34% / ≤7 29%

PSA 10 ratePopulation 2.7% → adjusted 1.4% (Vintage, ×0.52 at $46 value, starting assumption)

Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s

CostsRaw $45.64 + shipping $5.00 + grading $74.68 (expected; 37% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.74 = $135.06Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $7,950.79 · PSA 9 $872.79 · PSA 8 $202.72 · ≤7 $29.85PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 37% chance of an upcharge to Priority/Premier; about 121 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).

Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 4.1% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 36%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw

PSA 10/9 premium8.8x

PopulationPSA 10

Gem rate2.7%

PSA 10 pop9

Total pop331

SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment

PSA 10 velocity-

Total velocity-

SnapshotJun 20, 2026

Scarcity92/100

LabelElite

Confidence96/100

Supply95/100

Demand100/100

Gem rate 2.7%PSA 10 pop 9/331PSA 10/9 premium 8.8xSupply constraint 95/100

Raw validationconfirmed

TCG market$35.98

Pulse price$45.64

Delta-21%

CheckedJun 22, 2026

Voltorb (Shiny)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days

Signal context1

Support$39.65 floor, 4 tests

*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.