Identity checkMatches
✓CardNintendo Promos #003 · Rev Holo
✓Tracker matchTreecko - 003 (e-League) · Nintendo Promos · #003
✓Raw pricePulse $79.45 vs tracker $71.05 (-11%)
✓Gem rate3.9% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,527 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$122.47 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$80.16 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-37%
PSA 10$1,527PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$122.47PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$80.16PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$59.14$99.62 net sale vs $158.76 cost
EV rangeEV range: -51% / -37% / -20% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $79.45PSA 10 rate 2.8–5.4% (80% interval on 14 / 360); comps ±18.0% (comp quality 64). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 25% / 8 41% / ≤7 31%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 3.9% → adjusted 2.4% (Other, ×0.61 at $79 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 7.8% adjusted (≈ 12.7% population)
CostsRaw $79.45 + shipping $5.00 + grading $63.28 (expected; 2% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.02 = $158.76Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,305.40 · PSA 9 $99.70 · PSA 8 $63.39 · ≤7 $55.97PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 2% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 131 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.4% vs Other typical 20.4%): PSA 9 50% → 26%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium12.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate3.9%
PSA 10 pop14
Total pop360
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity90/100
LabelElite
Confidence100/100
Supply92/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 3.9%PSA 10 pop 14/360PSA 10/9 premium 12.5xSupply constraint 92/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$71.05
Pulse price$79.45
Delta-11%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Treecko - 003 (e-League)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$9.78 floor, 2 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.