PSA 10$912.21PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$360.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$39.00PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$21.18$164.71 net sale vs $143.53 cost
EV rangeEV range: -10% / +15% / +48% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $32.50 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $67.88PSA 10 rate 1.5–8.6% (80% interval on 2 / 54); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 3.7% → adjusted 2.0% (Vintage, ×0.55 at $68 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $67.88 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.66 = $143.53Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $777.48 · PSA 9 $303.56 · PSA 8 $28.07 · ≤7 $28.07PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings). Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.5x