Identity checkMismatch
✓CardNeo Destiny #107/105 · Unlimited Holofoil (1 of 2 printings)
✓Tracker matchShining Charizard · Neo Destiny · #107/105
✕Raw pricePulse $1,701 vs tracker $3,999 (+135%)
✓Gem rate5.2% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
!PSA 10 comp$20,000 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 9 comp$5,331 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 comp$3,400 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+72%
PSA 10$20,000PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$5,331PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$3,400PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$1,543$3,700 net sale vs $2,156 cost
EV rangeEV range: +56% / +72% / +95% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $2,443.03 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $1,701PSA 10 rate 4.8–5.5% (80% interval on 384 / 7439); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 40% / 8 31% / ≤7 26%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.2% → adjusted 3.4% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $1,701 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $1,700.99 + shipping $5.00 + grading $433.40 (expected; 74% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $10.92 = $2,156.31Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $18,674.20 · PSA 9 $4,569.99 · PSA 8 $2,912.28 · ≤7 $1,308.45PSA tier: Express $199.00; 74% chance of an upcharge to Super Express/Premier/Premium 1; about 19 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.5% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 42%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.8x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.2%
PSA 10 pop384
Total pop7,439
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity75/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply90/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 5.2%PSA 10 pop 384/7439PSA 10/9 premium 3.8xSupply constraint 90/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$3,999
Pulse price$1,701
Delta+135%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Shining CharizardPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$1,421 floor, 4 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.