Identity checkMatches
✓CardEX Crystal Guardians #97/100 · Holo
✓Tracker matchShiftry ex · EX Crystal Guardians · #97/100
!Raw pricePulse $53.86 vs tracker $44.82 (-17%)
✓Gem rate12.1% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,648 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$219.78 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$212.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+64%
PSA 10$1,648PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$219.78PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$212.50PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$87.74$225.52 net sale vs $137.78 cost
EV rangeEV range: +49% / +64% / +79% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $91.78 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $53.86PSA 10 rate 10.5–14.0% (80% interval on 70 / 578); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 6% / 9 42% / 8 28% / ≤7 23%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 12.1% → adjusted 6.4% (Vintage, ×0.53 at $54 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $53.86 + shipping $5.00 + grading $68.89 (expected; 6% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.04 = $137.78Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,409.21 · PSA 9 $183.22 · PSA 8 $176.97 · ≤7 $36.20PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 6% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 127 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate12.1%
PSA 10 pop70
Total pop578
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity80/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply77/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 12.1%PSA 10 pop 70/578PSA 10/9 premium 7.5xSupply constraint 77/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$44.82
Pulse price$53.86
Delta-17%
CheckedOct 5, 2026
Shiftry exPSA comps refreshed Oct 5, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$43.63 floor, 4 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.