Identity checkMatches
✓CardPlasma Blast #94/101 · Holo
✓Tracker matchMaster Ball · Plasma Blast · #94/101
✓Raw pricePulse $16.04 vs tracker $16.31 (+2%)
✓Gem rate4.2% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$165.50 · PriceCharting · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$1,200 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$13.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics> 300%check comps
PSA 10$165.50PriceCharting
PSA 9$1,200PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$13.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$359.31$457.93 net sale vs $98.63 cost
EV rangeEV range: +297% / > 300% / > 300% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $48.12 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $16.04PSA 10 rate 2.4–7.3% (80% interval on 5 / 118); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 25%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.2% → adjusted 1.9% (Vintage, ×0.45 at $16 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenPSA 10 comp is at or below a miss value; check comps
CostsRaw $16.04 + shipping $5.00 + grading $68.82 (expected; 44% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.77 = $98.63Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $136.64 · PSA 9 $1,024.47 · PSA 8 $5.76 · ≤7 $5.76PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 44% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 121 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium0.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.2%
PSA 10 pop5
Total pop118
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity60/100
LabelWatch
Confidence96/100
Supply92/100
Demand40/100
Gem rate 4.2%PSA 10 pop 5/118PSA 10/9 premium 0.1xSupply constraint 92/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$16.31
Pulse price$16.04
Delta+2%
CheckedOct 12, 2026
Master BallPSA comps refreshed Oct 12, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$14.91 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown62% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.