Identity checkMatches
✓CardMajestic Dawn #99/100 · Holo
✓Tracker matchLeafeon LV.X · Majestic Dawn · #99/100
✓Raw pricePulse $200.00 vs tracker $200.00 (+0%)
✓Gem rate0.9% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$5,508 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$3,612 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$1,334 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+246%
PSA 10$5,508PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$3,612PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$1,334PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$864.08$1,216 net sale vs $351.47 cost
EV rangeEV range: +188% / +246% / +258% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $600.00 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $200.00PSA 10 rate 0.5–1.5% (80% interval on 6 / 690); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 21% / 8 42% / ≤7 37%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 0.9% → adjusted 0.5% (Vintage, ×0.63 at $200 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $200.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $133.09 (expected; 63% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.38 = $351.47Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $4,722.06 · PSA 9 $3,094.70 · PSA 8 $1,139.42 · ≤7 $149.08PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 63% chance of an upcharge to Priority/Super Express/Premier; about 96 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.5% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 22%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate0.9%
PSA 10 pop6
Total pop690
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity76/100
LabelStrong
Confidence96/100
Supply98/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 0.9%PSA 10 pop 6/690PSA 10/9 premium 1.5xSupply constraint 98/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$200.00
Pulse price$200.00
Delta0%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Leafeon LV.XPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$190.23 floor, 2 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.