Identity checkMismatch
✓CardAquapolis #H15/H32 · Holo
✓Tracker matchLanturn (H15) · Aquapolis · #H15/H32
✕Raw pricePulse $140.00 vs tracker $63.34 (-55%)
✓Gem rate16.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$2,075 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$399.95 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$113.19 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+53%
PSA 10$2,075PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$399.95PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$113.19PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$123.69$355.06 net sale vs $231.37 cost
EV rangeEV range: +27% / +53% / +82% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $152.74 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $140.00PSA 10 rate 14.3–18.0% (80% interval on 101 / 629); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 41% / 8 27% / ≤7 23%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 16.1% → adjusted 9.7% (Vintage, ×0.60 at $140 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 1.1% adjusted (≈ 1.8% population)
CostsRaw $140.00 + shipping $5.00 + grading $73.47 (expected; 10% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $6.90 = $231.37Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,775.42 · PSA 9 $337.85 · PSA 8 $91.74 · ≤7 $91.74PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 10% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 123 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium5.2x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate16.1%
PSA 10 pop101
Total pop629
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity75/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply70/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 16.1%PSA 10 pop 101/629PSA 10/9 premium 5.2xSupply constraint 70/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$63.34
Pulse price$140.00
Delta-55%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Lanturn (H15)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$54.43 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.