Identity checkMatches
✓CardPlasma Blast #101/101 · Holo
✓Tracker matchIris (101 Full Art) · Plasma Blast · #101/101
✓Raw pricePulse $121.31 vs tracker $121.31 (+0%)
✓Gem rate5.6% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$4,167 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$336.61 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$144.95 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+43%
PSA 10$4,167PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$336.61PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$144.95PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$89.06$297.39 net sale vs $208.33 cost
EV rangeEV range: +25% / +43% / +64% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $130.21 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $121.31PSA 10 rate 4.6–6.7% (80% interval on 45 / 806); comps ±8.0% (comp quality 84). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 5.6% → adjusted 3.3% (Vintage, ×0.59 at $121 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 0.4% adjusted (≈ 0.7% population)
CostsRaw $121.31 + shipping $5.00 + grading $69.55 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $6.46 = $208.33Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $3,571.02 · PSA 9 $283.49 · PSA 8 $119.00 · ≤7 $88.30PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Super Express; about 129 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium12.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate5.6%
PSA 10 pop45
Total pop806
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity86/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply89/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 5.6%PSA 10 pop 45/806PSA 10/9 premium 12.4xSupply constraint 89/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$121.31
Pulse price$121.31
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Iris (101 Full Art)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$116.00 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown30% off peak, Recovering
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.