![Grovyle - 004 (e-League) [Winner]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/85934_200w.jpg)
Identity checkMatches
✓CardNintendo Promos #004 · Normal
✓Tracker matchGrovyle - 004 (e-League) [Winner] · Nintendo Promos · #004
!Raw pricePulse $122.16 vs tracker $94.75 (-22%)
✓Gem rate25.7% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$2,500 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$134.47 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$110.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics+96%
PSA 10$2,500PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$134.47PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$110.00PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$214.17$436.32 net sale vs $222.14 cost
EV rangeEV range: +42% / +96% / +130% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $161.54 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $122.16PSA 10 rate 21.4–30.4% (80% interval on 39 / 152); comps ±18.0% (comp quality 64). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 17% / 9 42% / 8 25% / ≤7 17%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 25.7% → adjusted 16.5% (Other, ×0.64 at $122 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 5.3% adjusted (≈ 8.2% population)
CostsRaw $122.16 + shipping $5.00 + grading $82.93 (expected; 17% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $6.05 = $222.14Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $2,140.16 · PSA 9 $110.00 · PSA 8 $89.00 · ≤7 $88.96PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 17% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 117 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium18.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate25.7%
PSA 10 pop39
Total pop152
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity73/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply55/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 25.7%PSA 10 pop 39/152PSA 10/9 premium 18.6xSupply constraint 55/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$94.75
Pulse price$122.16
Delta-22%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Grovyle - 004 (e-League) [Winner]PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$94.71 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.