Identity checkMismatch
✓CardBlack and White Promos #BW74 · Holo
✓Tracker matchGiratina (Team Plasma) · Black and White Promos · #BW74
✓Raw pricePulse $356.92 vs tracker $356.92 (+0%)
✓Gem rate0.9% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$1,350 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$1,737 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$3,375 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+177%
PSA 10$1,350Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$1,737PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$3,375PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$1,039$1,625 net sale vs $586.03 cost
EV rangeEV range: +138% / +177% / +225% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $1,065.63 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $356.92PSA 10 rate 0.6–1.2% (80% interval on 15 / 1686); comps ±18.5% (comp quality 63). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 20% / 8 42% / ≤7 37%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 0.9% → adjusted 0.6% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $357 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenPSA 10 comp is at or below a miss value; check comps
CostsRaw $356.92 + shipping $5.00 + grading $209.88 (expected; 63% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.23 = $586.03Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,153.37 · PSA 9 $1,485.19 · PSA 8 $2,891.11 · ≤7 $270.29PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 63% chance of an upcharge to Priority/Express/Super Express; about 65 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.2% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 20%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium0.8x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate0.9%
PSA 10 pop15
Total pop1,686
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity68/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply98/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 0.9%PSA 10 pop 15/1686PSA 10/9 premium 0.8xSupply constraint 98/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$356.92
Pulse price$356.92
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Giratina (Team Plasma)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$317.85 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown29% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.