Identity checkMismatch
✓CardPlasma Blast #99/101 · Holo
✓Tracker matchDialga EX (Team Plasma) (99 Full Art) · Plasma Blast · #99/101
✕Raw pricePulse $431.01 vs tracker $215.12 (-50%)
✓Gem rate4.3% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$11,100 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$960.40 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$522.60 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+52%
PSA 10$11,100PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$960.40PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$522.60PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$281.21$826.77 net sale vs $545.56 cost
EV rangeEV range: +28% / +52% / +79% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $473.75 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $431.01PSA 10 rate 3.5–5.2% (80% interval on 39 / 913); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 40% / 8 31% / ≤7 26%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.3% → adjusted 2.8% (Vintage, ×0.65 at $431 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $431.01 + shipping $5.00 + grading $86.06 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $17.49 = $545.56Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $9,997.99 · PSA 9 $818.84 · PSA 8 $443.11 · ≤7 $327.51PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Premium 1; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.2% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 41%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium11.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.3%
PSA 10 pop39
Total pop913
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity88/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply92/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 4.3%PSA 10 pop 39/913PSA 10/9 premium 11.6xSupply constraint 92/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$215.12
Pulse price$431.01
Delta-50%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Dialga EX (Team Plasma) (99 Full Art)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$200.00 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.