Identity checkMatches
✓CardEX Emerald #93/106 · Holo
✓Tracker matchDeoxys ex (Speed Forme) · Emerald · #93/106
✓Raw pricePulse $186.59 vs tracker $164.89 (-12%)
✓Gem rate4.2% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$2,351 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$671.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$610.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+77%
PSA 10$2,351PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$671.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$610.00PriceCharting crawler
Net EV$207.89$477.94 net sale vs $270.05 cost
EV rangeEV range: +46% / +77% / +106% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $253.71 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $186.59PSA 10 rate 3.3–5.3% (80% interval on 28 / 674); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 40% / 8 31% / ≤7 26%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 4.2% → adjusted 2.6% (Vintage, ×0.63 at $187 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $186.59 + shipping $5.00 + grading $63.61 (expected; 3% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.85 = $270.05Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $2,011.90 · PSA 9 $570.47 · PSA 8 $518.12 · ≤7 $138.72PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 3% chance of an upcharge to Express; about 130 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 5.3% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 41%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate4.2%
PSA 10 pop28
Total pop674
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity81/100
LabelStrong
Confidence100/100
Supply92/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 4.2%PSA 10 pop 28/674PSA 10/9 premium 3.5xSupply constraint 92/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$164.89
Pulse price$186.59
Delta-12%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Deoxys ex (Speed Forme)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$186.59 floor, 2 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.