Identity checkMatches
✓CardME02: Phantasmal Flames #106/094 · Holo
✓Tracker matchMeowth · ME02: Phantasmal Flames · #106/094
✓Raw pricePulse $14.12 vs tracker $14.45 (+2%)
✓Gem rate0.0% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$109.71 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$30.67 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$24.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Mega: none graded yet
Mega grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Mega grades are back.
Graded economics-79%
PSA 10$109.71PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$30.67PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$24.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$69.50$18.31 net sale vs $87.81 cost
EV rangeEV range: -80% / -79% / -60% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $14.12PSA 10 rate 0.0–35.4% (80% interval on 0 / 3); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 0% / 9 68% / 8 22% / ≤7 10%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 0.0% → adjusted 0.0% (Mega, ×0.60 at $14 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 98.7% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $14.12 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.70 = $87.81Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $88.75 · PSA 9 $20.92 · PSA 8 $16.05 · ≤7 $5.51PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitMega grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate0.0%
PSA 10 pop0
Total pop3
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity83/100
LabelStrong
Confidence63/100
Supply100/100
Demand26/100
Gem rate 0.0%PSA 10 pop 0/3PSA 10/9 premium 3.6xSupply constraint 100/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$14.45
Pulse price$14.12
Delta+2%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
MeowthPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown73% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-11-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.