Identity checkMismatch
✓CardSV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards #210 · Holo
✓Tracker matchTornadus - 210 (Pokemon Center Exclusive) · SV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards · #210
✕Raw pricePulse $14.74 vs tracker $22.67 (+54%)
✓Gem rate9.0% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$51.28 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$16.28 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$14.50 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-90%
PSA 10$51.28PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$16.28PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$14.50PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$79.42$9.03 net sale vs $88.45 cost
EV rangeEV range: -92% / -90% / -88% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $14.74PSA 10 rate 8.2–9.7% (80% interval on 218 / 2432); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 35% / 8 35% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 9.0% → adjusted 5.4% (SV, ×0.60 at $15 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $14.74 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.72 = $88.45Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $38.61 · PSA 9 $8.57 · PSA 8 $7.04 · ≤7 $5.99PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 9.7% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 37%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate9.0%
PSA 10 pop218
Total pop2,432
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity58/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply83/100
Demand1/100
Gem rate 9.0%PSA 10 pop 218/2432PSA 10/9 premium 3.1xSupply constraint 83/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$22.67
Pulse price$14.74
Delta+54%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Tornadus - 210 (Pokemon Center Exclusive)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Drawdown57% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-08-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.