Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV09: Journey Together #188/159 · Holo
✓Tracker matchIono's Bellibolt ex - 188/159 · SV09: Journey Together · #188/159
✓Raw pricePulse $10.19 vs tracker $10.18 (-0%)
✓Gem rate17.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$87.22 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$21.18 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$15.70 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-81%
PSA 10$87.22PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$21.18PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$15.70PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$68.16$15.58 net sale vs $83.74 cost
EV rangeEV range: -83% / -81% / -80% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $10.19PSA 10 rate 16.3–17.9% (80% interval on 643 / 3771); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 46% / 8 27% / ≤7 17%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 17.1% → adjusted 10.2% (SV, ×0.60 at $10 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $10.19 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.56 = $83.74Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $69.45 · PSA 9 $12.78 · PSA 8 $8.08 · ≤7 $2.57PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 17.9% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 51%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate17.1%
PSA 10 pop643
Total pop3,771
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity56/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply69/100
Demand19/100
Gem rate 17.1%PSA 10 pop 643/3771PSA 10/9 premium 4.1xSupply constraint 69/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$10.18
Pulse price$10.19
Delta-0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Iono's Bellibolt ex - 188/159PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown66% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.