Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV09: Journey Together #183/159 · Holo
✓Tracker matchIono's Bellibolt ex - 183/159 · SV09: Journey Together · #183/159
✓Raw pricePulse $30.39 vs tracker $30.39 (+0%)
✓Gem rate30.6% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$90.08 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.75 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$38.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-70%
PSA 10$90.08PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$28.75PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$38.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$73.70$30.97 net sale vs $104.67 cost
EV rangeEV range: -73% / -70% / -68% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $30.39PSA 10 rate 30.0–31.3% (80% interval on 2600 / 8486); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 19% / 9 54% / 8 18% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 30.6% → adjusted 19.4% (SV, ×0.63 at $30 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $30.39 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.29 = $104.67Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $71.91 · PSA 9 $19.27 · PSA 8 $28.06 · ≤7 $18.07PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 31.3% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 67%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.1x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate30.6%
PSA 10 pop2,600
Total pop8,486
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity40/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply48/100
Demand20/100
Gem rate 30.6%PSA 10 pop 2600/8486PSA 10/9 premium 3.1xSupply constraint 48/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$30.39
Pulse price$30.39
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Iono's Bellibolt ex - 183/159PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown67% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.