Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV09: Journey Together #182/159 · Holo
✓Tracker matchVolcanion ex - 182/159 · SV09: Journey Together · #182/159
✓Raw pricePulse $14.51 vs tracker $14.51 (+0%)
✓Gem rate31.6% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$73.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$25.16 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$16.52 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-75%
PSA 10$73.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$25.16PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$16.52PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$66.39$21.83 net sale vs $88.21 cost
EV rangeEV range: -77% / -75% / -73% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $14.51PSA 10 rate 30.7–32.6% (80% interval on 1309 / 4136); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 19% / 9 55% / 8 18% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 31.6% → adjusted 19.0% (SV, ×0.60 at $15 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $14.51 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.71 = $88.21Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $57.25 · PSA 9 $16.19 · PSA 8 $8.78 · ≤7 $5.81PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate31.6%
PSA 10 pop1,309
Total pop4,136
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity39/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply47/100
Demand13/100
Gem rate 31.6%PSA 10 pop 1309/4136PSA 10/9 premium 2.9xSupply constraint 47/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$14.51
Pulse price$14.51
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Volcanion ex - 182/159PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown64% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.