Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #164/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchGholdengo ex · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #164/131
✓Raw pricePulse $42.98 vs tracker $47.60 (+11%)
✓Gem rate32.8% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$178.75 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$50.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$38.32 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-50%
PSA 10$178.75PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$50.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$38.32PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$58.81$58.92 net sale vs $117.72 cost
EV rangeEV range: -53% / -50% / -47% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $42.98PSA 10 rate 31.7–33.8% (80% interval on 1045 / 3189); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 22% / 9 53% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 32.8% → adjusted 21.6% (SV, ×0.66 at $43 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 73.4% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $42.98 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.75 = $117.72Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $148.01 · PSA 9 $37.51 · PSA 8 $27.49 · ≤7 $27.49PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate32.8%
PSA 10 pop1,045
Total pop3,189
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity46/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply45/100
Demand43/100
Gem rate 32.8%PSA 10 pop 1045/3189PSA 10/9 premium 3.6xSupply constraint 45/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$47.60
Pulse price$42.98
Delta+11%
CheckedSep 30, 2026
Gholdengo exPSA comps refreshed Sep 30, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$42.10 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown57% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.