Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #163/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchPecharunt ex · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #163/131
✓Raw pricePulse $28.37 vs tracker $28.37 (+0%)
✓Gem rate32.7% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$68.55 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.43 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$18.54 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-77%
PSA 10$68.55PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$28.43PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$18.54PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$78.67$23.91 net sale vs $102.58 cost
EV rangeEV range: -78% / -77% / -75% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $28.37PSA 10 rate 31.1–34.3% (80% interval on 462 / 1412); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 21% / 9 54% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 32.7% → adjusted 20.5% (SV, ×0.63 at $28 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $28.37 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.22 = $102.58Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $53.43 · PSA 9 $19.00 · PSA 8 $10.51 · ≤7 $10.51PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate32.7%
PSA 10 pop462
Total pop1,412
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity38/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply45/100
Demand11/100
Gem rate 32.7%PSA 10 pop 462/1412PSA 10/9 premium 2.4xSupply constraint 45/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$28.37
Pulse price$28.37
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Pecharunt exPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$27.50 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown53% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.