Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #153/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchJolteon ex - 153/131 · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #153/131
!Raw pricePulse $162.83 vs tracker $205.62 (+26%)
✓Gem rate28.7% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$710.30 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$200.80 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$145.89 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics+3%
PSA 10$710.30PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$200.80PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$145.89PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$8.08$250.02 net sale vs $241.94 cost
EV rangeEV range: -12% / +3% / +18% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $98.97 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $162.83PSA 10 rate 28.1–29.2% (80% interval on 2826 / 9863); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 22% / 9 51% / 8 18% / ≤7 9%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 28.7% → adjusted 21.9% (SV, ×0.77 at $163 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 20.2% adjusted (≈ 26.3% population)
CostsRaw $162.83 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $8.12 = $241.94Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $604.20 · PSA 9 $166.93 · PSA 8 $119.80 · ≤7 $119.80PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 29.2% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 65%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.5x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate28.7%
PSA 10 pop2,826
Total pop9,863
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity52/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply51/100
Demand89/100
Gem rate 28.7%PSA 10 pop 2826/9863PSA 10/9 premium 3.5xSupply constraint 51/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$205.62
Pulse price$162.83
Delta+26%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Jolteon ex - 153/131PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context2
Support$141.31 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown48% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.