Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #147/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchCeruledge ex · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #147/131
✓Raw pricePulse $93.92 vs tracker $97.43 (+4%)
✓Gem rate39.8% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$229.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$81.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$84.20 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-41%
PSA 10$229.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$81.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$84.20PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$69.46$101.06 net sale vs $170.52 cost
EV rangeEV range: -46% / -41% / -36% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $0.28 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $93.92PSA 10 rate 39.0–40.6% (80% interval on 2417 / 6074); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 29% / 9 48% / 8 16% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 39.8% → adjusted 28.7% (SV, ×0.72 at $94 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 83.7% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $93.92 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.61 = $170.52Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $191.13 · PSA 9 $64.11 · PSA 8 $66.86 · ≤7 $64.11PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.8x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate39.8%
PSA 10 pop2,417
Total pop6,074
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity38/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply36/100
Demand51/100
Gem rate 39.8%PSA 10 pop 2417/6074PSA 10/9 premium 2.8xSupply constraint 36/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$97.43
Pulse price$93.92
Delta+4%
CheckedOct 12, 2026
Ceruledge exPSA comps refreshed Oct 12, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$90.69 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown58% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.