Identity checkMismatch
✓CardSV: Prismatic Evolutions #145/131 · Holo
✓Tracker matchTeal Mask Ogerpon ex - 145/131 · SV: Prismatic Evolutions · #145/131
✕Raw pricePulse $16.88 vs tracker $24.39 (+44%)
✓Gem rate32.5% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$160.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$28.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$20.79 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-57%
PSA 10$160.00PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$28.00PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$20.79PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV−$51.96$38.71 net sale vs $90.67 cost
EV rangeEV range: -65% / -57% / -50% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $16.88PSA 10 rate 30.9–34.0% (80% interval on 479 / 1476); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 19% / 9 55% / 8 18% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 32.5% → adjusted 19.5% (SV, ×0.60 at $17 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 64.4% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $16.88 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.80 = $90.67Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $131.92 · PSA 9 $18.63 · PSA 8 $12.44 · ≤7 $7.64PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium5.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate32.5%
PSA 10 pop479
Total pop1,476
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity54/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply46/100
Demand39/100
Gem rate 32.5%PSA 10 pop 479/1476PSA 10/9 premium 5.7xSupply constraint 46/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$24.39
Pulse price$16.88
Delta+44%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Teal Mask Ogerpon ex - 145/131PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Drawdown55% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2025-02-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.