Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV07: Stellar Crown #171/142 · Holo
✓Tracker matchBriar - 171/142 · SV07: Stellar Crown · #171/142
✓Raw pricePulse $11.47 vs tracker $11.47 (+0%)
✓Gem rate24.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$61.09 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$22.21 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$15.73 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-81%
PSA 10$61.09PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$22.21PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$15.73PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$69.00$16.07 net sale vs $85.06 cost
EV rangeEV range: -83% / -81% / -80% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $11.47PSA 10 rate 22.7–25.5% (80% interval on 389 / 1615); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 14% / 9 52% / 8 22% / ≤7 12%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 24.1% → adjusted 14.5% (SV, ×0.60 at $11 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $11.47 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.60 = $85.06Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $47.03 · PSA 9 $13.66 · PSA 8 $8.10 · ≤7 $3.46PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 25.5% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 61%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.8x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate24.1%
PSA 10 pop389
Total pop1,615
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity45/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply58/100
Demand7/100
Gem rate 24.1%PSA 10 pop 389/1615PSA 10/9 premium 2.8xSupply constraint 58/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$11.47
Pulse price$11.47
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Briar - 171/142PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown75% off peak, Falling
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-09-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.