Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV07: Stellar Crown #170/142 · Holo
✓Tracker matchTerapagos ex - 170/142 · SV07: Stellar Crown · #170/142
✓Raw pricePulse $34.24 vs tracker $34.33 (+0%)
✓Gem rate41.6% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$147.40 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$44.22 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$35.56 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-50%
PSA 10$147.40PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$44.22PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$35.56PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$54.51$54.16 net sale vs $108.66 cost
EV rangeEV range: -53% / -50% / -47% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $34.24PSA 10 rate 41.0–42.1% (80% interval on 5152 / 12397); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 27% / 9 50% / 8 16% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 41.6% → adjusted 26.7% (SV, ×0.64 at $34 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 86.4% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $34.24 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.43 = $108.66Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $121.10 · PSA 9 $32.55 · PSA 8 $25.12 · ≤7 $21.05PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate41.6%
PSA 10 pop5,152
Total pop12,397
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity36/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply34/100
Demand36/100
Gem rate 41.6%PSA 10 pop 5152/12397PSA 10/9 premium 3.3xSupply constraint 34/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$34.33
Pulse price$34.24
Delta+0%
CheckedOct 12, 2026
Terapagos ex - 170/142PSA comps refreshed Oct 12, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Drawdown77% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-09-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.