Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Shrouded Fable #095/064 · Holo
✓Tracker matchPecharunt ex - 095/064 · SV: Shrouded Fable · #095/064
✓Raw pricePulse $21.10 vs tracker $23.47 (+11%)
✓Gem rate50.3% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$54.06 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$40.23 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-70%
PSA 10$54.06PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$40.23PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$66.38$28.67 net sale vs $95.04 cost
EV rangeEV range: -76% / -70% / -64% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $21.10PSA 10 rate 46.9–53.6% (80% interval on 183 / 364); comps ±18.0% (comp quality 64). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 30% / 9 47% / 8 15% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 50.3% → adjusted 30.4% (SV, ×0.60 at $21 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $21.10 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.95 = $95.04Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $40.99 · PSA 9 $29.13 · PSA 8 $10.90 · ≤7 $10.90PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium1.3x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate50.3%
PSA 10 pop183
Total pop364
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity23/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply25/100
Demand3/100
Gem rate 50.3%PSA 10 pop 183/364PSA 10/9 premium 1.3xSupply constraint 25/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$23.47
Pulse price$21.10
Delta+11%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Pecharunt ex - 095/064PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$21.38 floor, 5 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-08-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.