Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Shrouded Fable #090/064 · Holo
✓Tracker matchOkidogi ex - 090/064 · SV: Shrouded Fable · #090/064
✓Raw pricePulse $21.82 vs tracker $21.79 (-0%)
✓Gem rate36.2% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$94.93 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$40.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$25.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-63%
PSA 10$94.93PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$40.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$25.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$60.08$35.71 net sale vs $95.79 cost
EV rangeEV range: -65% / -63% / -60% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $21.82PSA 10 rate 34.5–37.9% (80% interval on 460 / 1271); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 22% / 9 53% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 36.2% → adjusted 22.0% (SV, ×0.61 at $22 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $21.82 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.98 = $95.79Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $76.07 · PSA 9 $28.93 · PSA 8 $16.06 · ≤7 $11.45PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate36.2%
PSA 10 pop460
Total pop1,271
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity38/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply41/100
Demand21/100
Gem rate 36.2%PSA 10 pop 460/1271PSA 10/9 premium 2.4xSupply constraint 41/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$21.79
Pulse price$21.82
Delta-0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Okidogi ex - 090/064PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$19.58 floor, 6 tests
Drawdown41% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-08-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.