Professor Turo's Scenario - 171/182 (Regional Championships) [Staff] Rev Holo

League & Championship Cards - #171/182 - XY - Promo

PassSlab

Max buy: PSA 10 ≤ $52.16PSA 9 ≤ $16.04
Current: $27.99
Slab: Search for discounted slabs
Confidence: Low confidence in this verdict, show why
Low confidence in this verdict
Held by a blocker: Estimated PSA 10/9 comps
Thin comps (comp quality 59, under 65)

Scored on demand (not in today's pool) · score 31

Held back by: Estimated PSA 10/9 comps.
The slab market isn't strong enough yet (liquidity 64, comps 59).

Estimated PSA 10/9 compsNo PSA 8 downside compThin graded comps

Checklist 0 of 3 checked

Must check: Replace the estimated PSA 10/9 prices with real sold comps (we use PSA 10 $84.59, PSA 9 $31.15).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9
Search eBay sold for a PSA 8 to size the downside.eBay sold PSA 8
Add a few more PSA sold comps if you can (we use PSA 10 $84.59, PSA 9 $31.15).eBay sold PSA 10 eBay sold PSA 9 eBay sold PSA 8

Current

$27.99

PT ok$27.99 0%Scarcity 60Grade EV -77%

All-time high*

$78.38

All-time low*

$27.60

vs high

-64%

On sale - 64% off - Basing View on TCGplayer eBay Buy It Now eBay Auctions

Identity checkMismatch

✓CardLeague & Championship Cards #171/182 · Rev Holo

✓Tracker matchProfessor Turo's Scenario - 171/182 (Regional Championships) [Staff] · League & Championship Cards · #171/182

✓Raw pricePulse $27.99 vs tracker $27.99 (+0%)

✓Gem rate17.0% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing

✕PSA 10 comp$84.59 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing

✕PSA 9 comp$31.15 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing

!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)

Your grading resultsNone logged

Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on XY: none graded yet
XY grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 XY grades are back.

Graded economics-77%

PSA 10$84.59Market grade-curve estimate

PSA 9$31.15Market grade-curve estimate

PSA 8-Market grade-curve estimate

Net EV−$78.21$23.98 net sale vs $102.19 cost

EV rangeEV range: -82% / -77% / -70% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $27.99PSA 10 rate 11.4–24.6% (80% interval on 9 / 53); comps ±20.5% (comp quality 59). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.

Outcome mix10 10% / 9 54% / 8 23% / ≤7 14%

PSA 10 ratePopulation 17.0% → adjusted 9.8% (XY, ×0.58 at $28 value, starting assumption)

Break-evenCan't break even at these prices

CostsRaw $27.99 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.21 = $102.19Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $67.20 · PSA 9 $21.33 · PSA 8 $16.22 · ≤7 $16.22PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).

Grade splitXY grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7

PSA 10/9 premium2.7x

PopulationPSA 10

Gem rate17.0%

PSA 10 pop9

Total pop53

SourceGemRate card search enrichment

PSA 10 velocity-

Total velocity-

SnapshotJun 22, 2026

Scarcity60/100

LabelWatch

Confidence92/100

Supply69/100

Demand18/100

Gem rate 17.0%PSA 10 pop 9/53PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 69/100

Raw validationconfirmed

TCG market$27.99

Pulse price$27.99

Delta0%

CheckedOct 13, 2026

Professor Turo's Scenario - 171/182 (Regional Championships) [Staff]PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days

Signal context1

Drawdown64% off peak, Basing

*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-08-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.