![Xatu - 059 (Prerelease) [Staff]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/548554_200w.jpg)
Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards #059 · Holo
✓Tracker matchXatu - 059 (Prerelease) [Staff] · SV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards · #059
✓Raw pricePulse $21.18 vs tracker $21.18 (+0%)
✓Gem rate34.5% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$200.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$26.90 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$34.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-48%
PSA 10$200.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$26.90PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$34.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$45.77$49.36 net sale vs $95.13 cost
EV rangeEV range: -57% / -48% / -38% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $21.18PSA 10 rate 29.0–40.4% (80% interval on 39 / 113); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 21% / 9 54% / 8 17% / ≤7 8%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 34.5% → adjusted 20.9% (SV, ×0.60 at $21 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 51.9% adjusted (≈ 85.8% population)
CostsRaw $21.18 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.96 = $95.13Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $166.25 · PSA 9 $17.69 · PSA 8 $24.63 · ≤7 $10.96PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate34.5%
PSA 10 pop39
Total pop113
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity60/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply43/100
Demand46/100
Gem rate 34.5%PSA 10 pop 39/113PSA 10/9 premium 7.4xSupply constraint 43/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$21.18
Pulse price$21.18
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Xatu - 059 (Prerelease) [Staff]PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$19.53 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown46% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-05-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.